Deeper dive - immigration polling. 2024's #1 issue

Led Zeppelin's "Immigrant Song" and Jocko Willink's "Good"

There will be no lack of polling until November 5th.

Going deeper into polls will help us understand where we can expect the campaigns to go over the next 239 days.

A recent Wall Street Journal/Fabrizio Lee poll came out with some very interesting numbers on immigration. More on Fabrizio Lee

Overall:

Donald Trump +2 over Joe Biden 47-45

In 2020, the respondents said they voted for Biden over Trump 46-43.

Voting today for Congress they would vote Republican over Democrat 46-42.

Here are some Fave/Unfave numbers:

Joe Biden - 37/59

Donald Trump - 43/55

RFK Jr - 36/39

Kamala Harris - 36/56

Trump’s approve/disapprove job performance 48/50 whereas Biden’s approve/disapprove is 38/60. That’s brutal, but Trump only leads by 2.

71% said they have money invested in the stock market, mutual funds, or retirement account.

52% said they live in Suburban America - up 6 points from November 2021.

21% said they live in Urban American - down 4 points from November 2021.

74% said their costs for everyday goods and services has increased over the last few years while only 7% said that their household income had increased. That’s 10 to 1, folks.

Now, let’s dive into the #1 issue - immigration.

Key kickoff question:

A bipartisan group of Senators and the White House recently proposed a bill to make it harder for migrants to get asylum in the U.S., to increase the number of border agents, and give the President the power to limit the number of migrants coming into the country if immigration goes above a certain limit. From what you have heard would you favor or oppose this proposal?

Favor - 59%

Oppose 34%

Detain and Deport millions of undocumented immigrants?

Favor 59-37

Ban residents of Gaza, Syria, Somalia, Yemen, and Libya from entering the US?

Favor 43-46

Build a wall along the border with Mexico?

Favor 55-42

Deploy U.S. troops to the Border?

Favor 55-40

Increase funding for immigration courts to more quickly handle asylum claims?

Favor 67-28 (+39)

Increase the level of legal immigration?

Favor 58-36 (+22)

Create a pathway to citizenship for undocumented immigrants who have been in the U.S. for many years and pass a background check?

Favor 74-24 (+50)

Create a pathway to citizenship for Dreamers, undocumented immigrants brought to the United States as young children?

Favor 66-29 (+37)

More polling breakdown to come!

Have a great week.

Live from Sydney, Australia 1972 - Led Zeppelin’s Immigrant Song:

And great advice to kick off the week from Jocko Willink:

Good.