Harris/Trump Polling Shift - It's real, but not baked - yet.
Is 2024 more like 2016 or 2020?
Noon Zoom Today - WPA pollster Amanda Iovino
https://us02web.zoom.us/j/89954734784
Topics:
The World of Polling - what has happened in polling given ALL the changes?
Harris v. Trump (comparing to Biden v Trump) 2024 like 2016 or 2020?
VP pick data - getting to know Gov. Tim Walz
US Senate Races - Math v. Money
Solid Shift in Enthusiasm
2025 Virginia Governor race impacts
17 Days Later - Tell Us WHY Joe.
ABC News July 22nd What pushed President Biden to withdraw from the reelection race? Pressure from his own party to step aside grew despite White House assurances.
“It really boils down to this: it has to do with his overall health and vitality. Not anything cognitive. But he’s a proud guy, it pisses him off that he shuffles when he walks," Frank Biden told ABC News.
and same story ends with:
A source close to the Biden family disputed Frank Biden's account of President Biden's decision, saying, "He hasn’t spoken to his brother in weeks. What he said about health being a factor in the president’s decision is completely untrue."
Pulitzer Prize winning reporter Seymour Hersh offers his report on how Joe Biden ultimately withdrew from the election. Basically, Democratic Party bosses dropped the 25th Amendment hammer on him. That is according to Hersh’s unnamed source. #SeniorOfficial
Process for the 25th Amendment is pasted below. Summary from Claude AI.
The American public, and frankly the world, deserves the answer to Why Joe Biden Withdrew.
It’s been 17 days.
Two Guys Saying It Out Loud
Conservative talk show host Erick Erickson saying the quiet part out loud:
The Liberal Patriot’s good read with buried lede:
Does anyone want to win the center?
With less than 100 days to go in the 2024 election, the middle of the electorate remains wide open—valuable political terrain if only one of the two parties and their candidates cared to seize it.
Sad Face Wednesday Morning News
Wall St. Journal: Squad member Cori Bush loses primary
Incumbent progressive Rep. Cori Bush lost the Democratic primary in Missouri against a well-funded challenger backed by pro-Israel group Aipac.
Bush’s loss to St. Louis County prosecuting attorney Wesley Bell, age 49, is a major electoral win for the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, which has targeted members of Congress who criticized Israel on the national stage. The congresswoman is the second member of the left-leaning House “Squad” to lose a Democratic primary this summer, after Rep. Jamaal Bowman (D., N.Y.) was defeated in June.
Not Surprised Section
NY Times Getting to the core of why NFL players love Pilates
You may laugh, but NFL players of all shapes and sizes will do whatever it takes to be the best. The NFL has a long history of players using ballet and other forms of dance to differentiate their workouts from what goes on in the weight room and on the football field.
Pilates, which players have utilized for years now, is gaining devoted practitioners in part because of an explosion of social media video posts featuring their sweating and shaking workouts.
Speaking of Sports…
The Athletic/NYTimes : College football Freaks List 2024: Why Nyck Harbor takes No. 1 spot (again) in Bruce Feldman’s rankings
Nyck Harbor WR South Carolina
The 6-5, 242-pound sophomore, who turned 19 in July, cemented his status on this list when he ran a 10.1 100 and 20.20 in the 200 for the Gamecocks’track team, earning second-team All-America honors.
25th Amendment Process per Claude AI
The 25th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution outlines the process for presidential succession and temporary transfer of power. The process for invoking Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, which deals with situations where the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of the office, is as follows:
1. Declaration: The Vice President and a majority of either the principal officers of the executive departments (Cabinet members) or another body designated by Congress must declare in writing to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of the office.
2. Transfer of power: Upon this declaration, the Vice President immediately assumes the powers and duties of the office as Acting President.
3. President's response: The President can contest this declaration by informing the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House in writing that no inability exists.
4. Reassumption of power: If the President contests the declaration, they can resume the powers and duties of the office unless, within four days, the Vice President and a majority of the principal officers (or designated body) resubmit their declaration of the President's inability.
5. Congressional decision: In case of a dispute, Congress must assemble within 48 hours (if not in session) to decide the issue.
6. Congressional vote: Congress has 21 days to vote on the matter. A two-thirds majority in both Houses is required to determine that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of the office. If this majority is not reached, the President resumes their powers and duties.
This process is designed to handle situations where the President may be incapacitated but unwilling or unable to voluntarily transfer power. It has never been fully invoked in U.S. history, though there have been instances of temporary, voluntary transfers of power under other sections of the amendment.